Dezembro 0-3 Varzim — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.69
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
42%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
13%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
23%
+9.0pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.2pp
42%
Away Win
51%
-9.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.0pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dezembro EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Varzim EU Bookmakers 56%
-6% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
0.98/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/0.88
-18% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +23%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
204 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dezembro
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Varzim
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
15.03.2025 Varzim Varzim 2-0 HT 1-0 Dezembro Dezembro POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dezembro
0-3
AWAY Varzim
47% Ball Possession 53%
5 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dezembro vs Varzim
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Varzim swept aside Dezembro 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Varzim as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dezembro had 47% of the ball to Varzim's 53%, shots finished 5-8.

What was the final score of Dezembro vs Varzim?

Dezembro 0-3 Varzim in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dezembro vs Varzim?

Before kick-off our model rated an Varzim win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Dezembro 32%, draw 25%, Varzim 42%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Varzim), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Varzim) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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