Varzim 2-0 Dezembro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.86
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.51
Over 2.5
42%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.16
No
58%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
50%
+0.1pp
24%
Draw
29%
-4.4pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+4.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.4pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Varzim EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Dezembro EU Bookmakers 24%
-3% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +8%
1.36/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.18
+1% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
319 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Varzim
2-0
AWAY Dezembro
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Varzim vs Dezembro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Varzim beat Dezembro 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Varzim as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Varzim had 54% of the ball to Dezembro's 46%, shots finished 10-8.

What was the final score of Varzim vs Dezembro?

Varzim 2-0 Dezembro in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Varzim vs Dezembro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Varzim win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Varzim 50%, draw 24%, Dezembro 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Varzim), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Varzim) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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