Lusitania FC Lourosa 2-0 Atletico CP — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.71
Over 2.5
40%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.85
No
58%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-2.4pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.2pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+2.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
55%
+5.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
45%
-5.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
50%
-8.3pp
58%
BTTS No
50%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lusitania FC Lourosa EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico CP EU Bookmakers 32%
+25% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +4%
1.81/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.20
+47% / +96% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
342 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lusitania FC Lourosa
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Atletico CP
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
15.03.2025 Atletico CP Atletico CP 0-0 HT 0-0 Lusitania FC Lourosa Lusitania FC Lourosa POR3
17.03.2024 Lusitania FC Lourosa Lusitania FC Lourosa 3-1 HT 2-0 Atletico CP Atletico CP POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lusitania FC Lourosa
2-0
AWAY Atletico CP
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Atletico CP
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lusitania FC Lourosa saw off Atletico CP 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Lusitania FC Lourosa as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Lusitania FC Lourosa had 50% of the ball to Atletico CP's 50%, shots finished 6-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Lusitania FC Lourosa had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Lusitania FC Lourosa and 0.50 for Atletico CP.

What was the final score of Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Atletico CP?

Lusitania FC Lourosa 2-0 Atletico CP in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Atletico CP?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lusitania FC Lourosa win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Lusitania FC Lourosa 41%, draw 28%, Atletico CP 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lusitania FC Lourosa), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lusitania FC Lourosa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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