Fafe 1-2 Sporting CP II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
+0.2pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.0pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+0.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.7pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fafe EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting CP II EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -14%
1.15/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/1.22
-10% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +9%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
289 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fafe
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Sporting CP II
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.03.2025 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II 0-0 HT 0-0 Fafe Fafe POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fafe
1-2
AWAY Sporting CP II
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fafe vs Sporting CP II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting CP II nicked a narrow win over Fafe 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Fafe at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Fafe had 53% of the ball to Sporting CP II's 47%, shots finished 7-13.

What was the final score of Fafe vs Sporting CP II?

Fafe 1-2 Sporting CP II in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fafe vs Sporting CP II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fafe win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Fafe 44%, draw 26%, Sporting CP II 30%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Fafe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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