AD Marco 09 2-1 Sao Joao Ver — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 21 Dec 2025

AD Marco 09
2-1 HT 1-0
Sao Joao Ver
📅21/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Portugal - 3rd Division – 2025/2026

AD Marco 09 vs Sao Joao Ver Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.59
Over 2.5
43%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
-0.1pp
25%
Draw
30%
-4.1pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.9pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

AD Marco 09 v Sao Joao Ver — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AD Marco 09 EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Sao Joao Ver EU Bookmakers 33%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.28/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.92
+1% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -37%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
287 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.1

AD Marco 09 vs Sao Joao Ver Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AD Marco 09
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Sao Joao Ver
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.09.2025 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver 0-0 HT 0-0 AD Marco 09 AD Marco 09 POR3

AD Marco 09 2-1 Sao Joao Ver — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AD Marco 09
2-1
AWAY Sao Joao Ver
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH AD Marco 09 vs Sao Joao Ver
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AD Marco 09 squeezed past Sao Joao Ver 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had AD Marco 09 as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AD Marco 09 had 55% of the ball to Sao Joao Ver's 45%, shots finished 12-8.

What was the final score of AD Marco 09 vs Sao Joao Ver?

AD Marco 09 2-1 Sao Joao Ver in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 21/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AD Marco 09 vs Sao Joao Ver?

Before kick-off our model rated a AD Marco 09 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split AD Marco 09 41%, draw 25%, Sao Joao Ver 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AD Marco 09) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AD Marco 09) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POR3 More Portugal - 3rd Division
21 Dec 2025
18:00 Amarante vs Fafe Analysis →
18:00 Vitoria Guimaraes II vs Paredes Analysis →
18:00 Academica vs Lusitano Évora 1911 Analysis →
18:00 Sporting Covilha vs CF Os Belenenses Analysis →