Sporting Covilha vs CF Os Belenenses Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sporting Covilha v CF Os Belenenses — Team-Based Signals
Sporting Covilha vs CF Os Belenenses Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
Sporting Covilha
POR2
1-1
HT 0-1
CF Os Belenenses
POR2
Sporting Covilha 0-4 CF Os Belenenses — Actual Match Statistics
CF Os Belenenses swept aside Sporting Covilha 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had CF Os Belenenses as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (55%) missed.
On the day, Sporting Covilha had 52% of the ball to CF Os Belenenses's 48%, shots finished 12-18.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Sporting Covilha and 1.60 for CF Os Belenenses.
What was the final score of Sporting Covilha vs CF Os Belenenses?
Sporting Covilha 0-4 CF Os Belenenses in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 21/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sporting Covilha vs CF Os Belenenses?
Before kick-off our model rated an CF Os Belenenses win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Sporting Covilha 22%, draw 27%, CF Os Belenenses 51%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CF Os Belenenses), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.