Academica 3-1 Lusitano Évora 1911 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 21 Dec 2025

📅21/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.64
Over 2.5
50%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.96
No
45%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-4.2pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.1pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+6.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
57%
-6.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
43%
+6.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
47%
+8.6pp
45%
BTTS No
53%
-8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Academica EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Lusitano Évora 1911 EU Bookmakers 29%
-15% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
1.12/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/1.20
-20% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
311 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Academica
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Lusitano Évora 1911
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
11.10.2025 Lusitano Évora 1911 Lusitano Évora 1911 0-2 HT 0-1 Academica Academica POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Academica
3-1
AWAY Lusitano Évora 1911
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Academica vs Lusitano Évora 1911
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Academica beat Lusitano Évora 1911 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Academica as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Academica had 54% of the ball to Lusitano Évora 1911's 46%, shots finished 8-8.

What was the final score of Academica vs Lusitano Évora 1911?

Academica 3-1 Lusitano Évora 1911 in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 21/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Academica vs Lusitano Évora 1911?

Before kick-off our model rated a Academica win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Academica 43%, draw 25%, Lusitano Évora 1911 31%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Academica), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Academica) ✓ BTTS Yes
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