Amarante vs Fafe Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Amarante v Fafe — Team-Based Signals
Amarante vs Fafe Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Amarante 3-2 Fafe — Actual Match Statistics
Amarante edged past Fafe 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Fafe at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Amarante had 47% of the ball to Fafe's 53%, shots finished 10-15.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fafe led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Amarante and 2.00 for Fafe.
What was the final score of Amarante vs Fafe?
Amarante 3-2 Fafe in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 21/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Amarante vs Fafe?
Before kick-off our model rated an Fafe win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Amarante 29%, draw 30%, Fafe 41%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.