Fafe 3-0 Amarante — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 10 Oct 2025

📅10/10/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.52
Over 2.5
45%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.33
No
47%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
28%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-1.6pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.4pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
62%
-7.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
38%
+7.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
39%
+14.1pp
47%
BTTS No
61%
-14.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fafe EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Amarante EU Bookmakers 28%
-2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.07/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.35
-19% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
330 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fafe
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Amarante
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
13.04.2025 Fafe Fafe 1-1 HT 0-0 Amarante Amarante POR3
16.02.2025 Amarante Amarante 1-3 HT 1-1 Fafe Fafe POR3
18.01.2025 Amarante Amarante 0-0 HT 0-0 Fafe Fafe POR3
06.10.2024 Fafe Fafe 4-1 HT 2-1 Amarante Amarante POR3
08.09.2024 Fafe Fafe 1-4 HT 1-3 Amarante Amarante POK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fafe
3-0
AWAY Amarante
65% Ball Possession 35%
22 Total Shots 3
12 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Fafe vs Amarante
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fafe cruised past Amarante 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Fafe as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Fafe had 65% of the ball to Amarante's 35%, shots finished 22-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Fafe had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Fafe and 1.40 for Amarante.

What was the final score of Fafe vs Amarante?

Fafe 3-0 Amarante in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 10/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fafe vs Amarante?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fafe win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Fafe 45%, draw 28%, Amarante 27%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fafe) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fafe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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