UTA Arad 2-4 FCSB — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 1 Mar 2026

📅01/03/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
3.69
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
53%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.82
Over 2.5
53%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.81
No
43%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.05
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.43
6+ Goals
11%
13.7
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.43 — our 25% vs market 22.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
12%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
19%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
24%
-5.2pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.0pp
53%
Away Win
50%
+3.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
51%
-4.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
49%
+4.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
51%
+6.0pp
43%
BTTS No
49%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UTA Arad EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY FCSB EU Bookmakers 54%
+1% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +5%
1.28/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.75/1.18
+0% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -8%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
268 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 77%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.6
20.8 Crosses 17.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UTA Arad
2W-0D-4L
AWAY FCSB
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.82 xG 2.53
42% Ball Possession 58%
15 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
214 Passes 459
72% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 34
12 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
03.12.2025 UTA Arad UTA Arad 3-0 HT 0-0 FCSB FCSB ROMK
26.10.2025 FCSB FCSB 4-0 HT 2-0 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
26.01.2025 UTA Arad UTA Arad 0-1 HT 0-0 FCSB FCSB ROM
01.09.2024 FCSB FCSB 2-0 HT 1-0 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
22.01.2024 FCSB FCSB 4-0 HT 2-0 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
28.08.2023 UTA Arad UTA Arad 2-1 HT 1-1 FCSB FCSB ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UTA Arad
2-4
AWAY FCSB
33% Ball Possession 67%
8 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 4
POST-MATCH UTA Arad vs FCSB
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FCSB got the better of UTA Arad 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had FCSB as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, UTA Arad had 33% of the ball to FCSB's 67%, shots finished 8-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FCSB led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for UTA Arad and 2.00 for FCSB.

What was the final score of UTA Arad vs FCSB?

UTA Arad 2-4 FCSB in the Romania - 1st Division on 01/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UTA Arad vs FCSB?

Before kick-off our model rated an FCSB win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split UTA Arad 19%, draw 28%, FCSB 53%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FCSB), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FCSB) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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