Ümraniyespor 1-2 Bandırmaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 1 Mar 2026

📅01/03/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.39
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
34%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
1.82
Over
47%
1.92
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.94
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
46%
4-5
21%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
2%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
3%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Ümraniyespor The Market 42%
Signal
AWAY Bandırmaspor The Market 39%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
1.31 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.35
1.17 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.41
Weak Attack Strength Weak
Strong Defense Strength Average
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
329 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 76%
17 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ümraniyespor
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Bandırmaspor
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.87 xG 1.69
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
322 Passes 326
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.10.2025 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 2-1 HT 1-1 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor T1L
02.03.2025 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 2-0 HT 1-0 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor T1L
24.02.2024 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 4-1 HT 1-1 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor T1L
29.09.2023 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 0-1 HT 0-1 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor T1L
06.02.2022 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 2-0 HT 1-0 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor T1L
11.09.2021 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 2-0 HT 2-0 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ümraniyespor
1 - 2
AWAY Bandırmaspor
0.90 xG 0.73
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 5
12 Corners 4
357 Passes 223
79% Pass Accuracy 73%
30 Box Touches 18
26 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Ümraniyespor vs Bandırmaspor
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Bandırmaspor nicked a narrow win over Ümraniyespor 2-1 away from home. Level at 1-1 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Bandırmaspor found the edge the numbers couldn't.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 47% and both teams to score at 53%, coin-flips both.

Under the surface, possession split 60% to 40% in Ümraniyespor's favour, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 0.90 to 0.73.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bandırmaspor led the recent series with 5 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.67 a game for Ümraniyespor against 1.83 for Bandırmaspor.

Ümraniyespor vs Bandırmaspor Result & Final Score

Ümraniyespor 1 - 2 Bandırmaspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 01/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Ümraniyespor vs Bandırmaspor Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Ümraniyespor win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ümraniyespor 38%, draw 28%, Bandırmaspor 34%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ümraniyespor), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ümraniyespor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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