Aveley 1-2 Havant & Waterlooville — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 1 Apr 2024

📅01/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
37%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.07
Over 2.5
49%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.99
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
25%
3.11
6+ Goals
9%
10.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.99 — our 28% vs market 20.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
46%
-10.5pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.0pp
37%
Away Win
30%
+7.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.4pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aveley EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Havant & Waterlooville EU Bookmakers 33%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -27%
1.95/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/2.07
+27% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -33%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
318 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aveley
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Havant & Waterlooville
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.10.2023 Havant & Waterlooville Havant & Waterlooville 1-4 HT 1-2 Aveley Aveley İCON
POST-MATCH Aveley vs Havant & Waterlooville
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Havant & Waterlooville edged past Aveley 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 37% — and on the day Havant & Waterlooville made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

What was the final score of Aveley vs Havant & Waterlooville?

Aveley 1-2 Havant & Waterlooville in the England - Conference on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aveley vs Havant & Waterlooville?

Before kick-off our model rated an Havant & Waterlooville win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Aveley 35%, draw 28%, Havant & Waterlooville 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Havant & Waterlooville), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Havant & Waterlooville) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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