Chester vs Alfreton Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chester v Alfreton Town — Team-Based Signals
Chester vs Alfreton Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Chester 0-2 Alfreton Town — Actual Match Statistics
Alfreton Town beat Chester 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Chester at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Chester had 59% of the ball to Alfreton Town's 41%, shots finished 9-11.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chester had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Chester and 1.00 for Alfreton Town.
What was the final score of Chester vs Alfreton Town?
Chester 0-2 Alfreton Town in the England - Conference on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chester vs Alfreton Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Chester win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Chester 47%, draw 27%, Alfreton Town 25%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Chester) went the other way.