Maidstone United 1-1 Welling United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 1 Apr 2024

Maidstone United
1-1 HT 1-0
Welling United
📅01/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
England - Conference – 2023/2024

Maidstone United vs Welling United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.72
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
26%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
1.8
Over
42%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 ✗
33%
3.13
2-3
41%
1.78
4-5
18%
3.75
6+
8%
15.9
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.13 — our 33% vs market 26.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 58% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
54%
-7.1pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.8pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+5.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.1pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Maidstone United v Welling United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maidstone United EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Welling United EU Bookmakers 23%
+9% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -3%
1.97/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.77
+9% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
444 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 70%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0

Maidstone United vs Welling United Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maidstone United
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Welling United
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
24.10.2023 Welling United Welling United 0-0 HT 0-0 Maidstone United Maidstone United İCON
02.05.2022 Welling United Welling United 3-2 HT 1-0 Maidstone United Maidstone United İCON
28.12.2021 Maidstone United Maidstone United 4-1 HT 2-1 Welling United Welling United İCON
06.10.2020 Maidstone United Maidstone United 2-1 HT 0-1 Welling United Welling United İCON
07.03.2020 Maidstone United Maidstone United 3-1 HT 0-0 Welling United Welling United İCON

Maidstone United 1-1 Welling United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maidstone United
1-1
AWAY Welling United
52% Ball Possession 48%
19 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Maidstone United vs Welling United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maidstone United and Welling United shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Maidstone United at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Maidstone United had 52% of the ball to Welling United's 48%, shots finished 19-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Maidstone United had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Maidstone United and 1.20 for Welling United.

What was the final score of Maidstone United vs Welling United?

Maidstone United 1-1 Welling United in the England - Conference on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maidstone United vs Welling United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maidstone United win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Maidstone United 47%, draw 27%, Welling United 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Maidstone United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Maidstone United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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