Southport 0-1 Scunthorpe United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 1 Apr 2024

📅01/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.48
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
47%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.91
Over
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No Pick
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1
29%
3.42
2-3
38%
1.79
4-5
23%
3.47
6+
10%
13.35
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.42 — our 29% vs market 23.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
19%
+9.7pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.7pp
47%
Away Win
57%
-10.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.5pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Southport EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Scunthorpe United EU Bookmakers 61%
-8% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.05/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/0.93
-14% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +18%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
269 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Southport
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Scunthorpe United
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
34% Ball Possession 66%
4 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
21.11.2023 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United 1-0 HT 0-0 Southport Southport İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Southport
0-1
AWAY Scunthorpe United
40% Ball Possession 60%
4 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Southport vs Scunthorpe United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Scunthorpe United nicked a narrow win over Southport 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Scunthorpe United as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Southport had 40% of the ball to Scunthorpe United's 60%, shots finished 4-14.

What was the final score of Southport vs Scunthorpe United?

Southport 0-1 Scunthorpe United in the England - Conference on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Southport vs Scunthorpe United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Scunthorpe United win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Southport 29%, draw 24%, Scunthorpe United 47%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Scunthorpe United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Scunthorpe United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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