Torquay United 3-3 Weston-super-Mare — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 1 Apr 2024

📅01/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.95
Over 2.5
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.57
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.36
6+ Goals
8%
12.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.57 — our 30% vs market 22.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-5.4pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.4pp
35%
Away Win
32%
+3.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.0pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torquay United EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Weston-super-Mare EU Bookmakers 36%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -7%
1.52/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.91
+6% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -27%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
319 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torquay United
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Weston-super-Mare
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 4
24.10.2023 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare 3-2 HT 1-0 Torquay United Torquay United İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torquay United
3-3
AWAY Weston-super-Mare
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Torquay United vs Weston-super-Mare
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torquay United and Weston-super-Mare couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Torquay United had 43% of the ball to Weston-super-Mare's 57%, shots finished 13-13.

What was the final score of Torquay United vs Weston-super-Mare?

Torquay United 3-3 Weston-super-Mare in the England - Conference on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torquay United vs Weston-super-Mare?

Before kick-off our model rated a Torquay United win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Torquay United 37%, draw 28%, Weston-super-Mare 35%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Torquay United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İCON More England - Conference
1 Apr 2024
15:00 Weymouth vs Yeovil Analysis →
17:00 Taunton Town vs Bath City Analysis →
17:00 Tonbridge Angels vs Farnborough Analysis →
17:00 Kings Lynn Town vs Scarborough Athletic Analysis →
17:00 Aveley vs Havant & Waterlooville Analysis →
17:00 Hereford FC vs Buxton Analysis →