Worthing 2-0 Hampton & Richmond — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 1 Apr 2024

📅01/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under
42%
2.21
Over Pick
58%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.6
No
43%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1
22%
4.48
2-3
37%
1.9
4-5
25%
2.92
6+
16%
8.49
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
53%
-8.8pp
26%
Draw
24%
+3.0pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.4pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Worthing EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Hampton & Richmond EU Bookmakers 27%
-3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -1%
1.88/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.27
+4% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
396 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Worthing
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Hampton & Richmond
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
58% Ball Possession 42%
7 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
24.10.2023 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond 4-1 HT 0-0 Worthing Worthing İCON
01.01.2023 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond 0-0 HT 0-0 Worthing Worthing İCON
26.12.2022 Worthing Worthing 4-3 HT 1-2 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Worthing
2-0
AWAY Hampton & Richmond
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Worthing vs Hampton & Richmond
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Worthing beat Hampton & Richmond 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Worthing as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Worthing had 54% of the ball to Hampton & Richmond's 46%, shots finished 17-7.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Worthing and 2.33 for Hampton & Richmond.

What was the final score of Worthing vs Hampton & Richmond?

Worthing 2-0 Hampton & Richmond in the England - Conference on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Worthing vs Hampton & Richmond?

Before kick-off our model rated a Worthing win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Worthing 44%, draw 26%, Hampton & Richmond 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Worthing) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Worthing) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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