Moss 3-0 Lyn Oslo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 1 Apr 2024

Moss
3-0 HT 1-0
Lyn Oslo
📅01/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Norway - 1st Division – 2024

Moss vs Lyn Oslo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.82
Over 2.5
52%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.19
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
3.68
6+ Goals
10%
15.25
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.68 — our 24% vs market 21.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
-0.4pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.4pp
37%
Away Win
37%
-0.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
51%
-3.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
49%
+3.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.7pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Moss v Lyn Oslo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moss EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Lyn Oslo EU Bookmakers 40%
-5% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-53% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
334 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.3 Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Moss vs Lyn Oslo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Moss cruised past Lyn Oslo 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 37%) promised a tight game; Moss found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Moss vs Lyn Oslo?

Moss 3-0 Lyn Oslo in the Norway - 1st Division on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moss vs Lyn Oslo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lyn Oslo win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Moss 36%, draw 28%, Lyn Oslo 37%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Lyn Oslo), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lyn Oslo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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