Wealdstone 1-0 Boston United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 1 Apr 2025

Wealdstone
1-0 HT 1-0
Boston United
📅01/04/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
England - National League – 2025/2026

Wealdstone vs Boston United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.9
Over 2.5
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.68
No
53%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.23
2-3 Goals
37%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
3.38
6+ Goals
9%
12.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.23 — our 31% vs market 24.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.78
1/2
6%
28.5
1/X
7%
12.9
X/1
11%
5.79
X/2
11%
5.87
X/X
15%
4.66
2/1
10%
28.0
2/2
18%
3.86
2/X
6%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Under 2.5 — 54% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
-0.3pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.7pp
36%
Away Win
36%
-0.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.2pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Wealdstone v Boston United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wealdstone EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Boston United EU Bookmakers 39%
+8% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +38% / +38%
1.56/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/0.25
+16% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +150%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
118 · 92% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 104 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.1 Yellow Cards 0.6
POST-MATCH Wealdstone vs Boston United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wealdstone edged past Boston United 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 36%) promised a tight game; Wealdstone found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

What was the final score of Wealdstone vs Boston United?

Wealdstone 1-0 Boston United in the England - National League on 01/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wealdstone vs Boston United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wealdstone win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Wealdstone 37%, draw 28%, Boston United 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wealdstone), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Wealdstone) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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