Woking 1-1 Rochdale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 1 Apr 2025

📅01/04/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.99
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
48%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.88
No
58%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.61
2-3 Goals
36%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
4.13
6+ Goals
10%
20.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.61 — our 35% vs market 31.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
5.08
1/2
12%
29.0
1/X
6%
14.4
X/1
10%
6.56
X/2
12%
4.87
X/X
11%
4.22
2/1
8%
35.0
2/2
24%
3.2
2/X
8%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
30%
-3.4pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.8pp
47%
Away Win
42%
+5.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.1pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Woking EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Rochdale EU Bookmakers 46%
+2% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.14/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.27
-11% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
311 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Woking
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Rochdale
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2024 Rochdale Rochdale 3-0 HT 1-0 Woking Woking İBSL
12.03.2024 Rochdale Rochdale 2-1 HT 1-1 Woking Woking İBSL
15.08.2023 Woking Woking 3-2 HT 0-1 Rochdale Rochdale İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Woking
1-1
AWAY Rochdale
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
0 Passes 1
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Woking vs Rochdale
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Woking and Rochdale shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Rochdale at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Woking had 51% of the ball to Rochdale's 49%, shots finished 8-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Rochdale led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Woking and 2.33 for Rochdale.

What was the final score of Woking vs Rochdale?

Woking 1-1 Rochdale in the England - National League on 01/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Woking vs Rochdale?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rochdale win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Woking 26%, draw 26%, Rochdale 47%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Rochdale), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rochdale) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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