Aldershot Town 2-0 AFC Fylde — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 1 Apr 2025

📅01/04/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.76
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.21
Over 2.5
50%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.3
2-3 Goals
42%
1.87
4-5 Goals
21%
2.81
6+ Goals
10%
7.94
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.31
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.0
X/1
14%
4.7
X/2
10%
9.11
X/X
11%
5.68
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
21.25
2/2
13%
6.46
2/X
9%
14.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.25 — our 11% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
-7.4pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.8pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.0pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aldershot Town EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Fylde EU Bookmakers 27%
-2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -9%
1.74/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.73
+0% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
363 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aldershot Town
1W-1D-4L
AWAY AFC Fylde
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 4
2 Passes 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.10.2024 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 5-2 HT 3-2 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
13.02.2024 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 0-5 HT 0-3 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde İBSL
09.09.2023 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 0-2 HT 0-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
14.03.2020 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 1-0 HT 1-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
03.08.2019 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 1-2 HT 0-1 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde İBSL
30.03.2019 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 0-0 HT 0-0 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aldershot Town
2-0
AWAY AFC Fylde
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 9
1 Passes 0
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Aldershot Town vs AFC Fylde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aldershot Town got the better of AFC Fylde 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Aldershot Town as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Aldershot Town had 47% of the ball to AFC Fylde's 53%, shots finished 7-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AFC Fylde led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Aldershot Town and 2.17 for AFC Fylde.

What was the final score of Aldershot Town vs AFC Fylde?

Aldershot Town 2-0 AFC Fylde in the England - National League on 01/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aldershot Town vs AFC Fylde?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aldershot Town win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Aldershot Town 45%, draw 26%, AFC Fylde 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aldershot Town) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aldershot Town) ✗ BTTS Yes
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