AFC Fylde 5-2 Aldershot Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 5 Oct 2024

AFC Fylde
5-2 HT 3-2
Aldershot Town
📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - National League – 2024/2025

AFC Fylde vs Aldershot Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
35%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.21
Over 2.5
46%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.53
No
53%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.42
2-3 Goals
43%
1.89
4-5 Goals
21%
2.93
6+ Goals
7%
8.66
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.42 — our 29% vs market 17.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.59
1/2
5%
25.5
1/X
7%
12.75
X/1
13%
5.82
X/2
11%
5.64
X/X
13%
5.34
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
19%
3.44
2/X
8%
12.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
+0.1pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.3pp
35%
Away Win
38%
-3.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
41%
+12.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
59%
-12.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
61%
-14.5pp
53%
BTTS No
39%
+14.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

AFC Fylde v Aldershot Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Fylde EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Aldershot Town EU Bookmakers 42%
+0% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -16%
1.97/1.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.42
+45% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
142 · 93% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 143 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.7

AFC Fylde vs Aldershot Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Fylde
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Aldershot Town
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.02.2024 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 0-5 HT 0-3 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde İBSL
09.09.2023 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 0-2 HT 0-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
14.03.2020 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 1-0 HT 1-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
03.08.2019 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 1-2 HT 0-1 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde İBSL
30.03.2019 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 0-0 HT 0-0 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde İBSL
15.09.2018 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 3-0 HT 2-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL

AFC Fylde 5-2 Aldershot Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Fylde
5-2
AWAY Aldershot Town
45% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 16
11 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
5 Passes 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH AFC Fylde vs Aldershot Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Fylde cruised past Aldershot Town 5-2. Half-time: 3-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; AFC Fylde found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, AFC Fylde had 45% of the ball to Aldershot Town's 55%, shots finished 16-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AFC Fylde had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for AFC Fylde and 0.50 for Aldershot Town.

What was the final score of AFC Fylde vs Aldershot Town?

AFC Fylde 5-2 Aldershot Town in the England - National League on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Fylde vs Aldershot Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Fylde win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split AFC Fylde 37%, draw 28%, Aldershot Town 35%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Fylde) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AFC Fylde) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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