Oldham Athletic 2-3 Solihull Moors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.89
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.8
Over 2.5
42%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.1
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.76
6+ Goals
8%
16.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 32% vs market 26.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.58
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.3
X/1
15%
4.18
X/2
8%
7.61
X/X
14%
4.7
2/1
9%
24.85
2/2
10%
5.91
2/X
8%
14.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-5.2pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.5pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+0.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.8pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oldham Athletic EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Solihull Moors EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +26%
1.56/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.56
-3% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
315 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oldham Athletic
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Solihull Moors
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
16.12.2023 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors 2-3 HT 1-0 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İBSL
28.08.2023 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 0-2 HT 0-0 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors İBSL
25.03.2023 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 1-1 HT 1-0 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors İBSL
03.12.2022 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors 2-1 HT 0-0 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oldham Athletic
2-3
AWAY Solihull Moors
54% Ball Possession 46%
19 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 4
2 Passes 2
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Oldham Athletic vs Solihull Moors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Solihull Moors nicked a narrow win over Oldham Athletic 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Oldham Athletic at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Oldham Athletic had 54% of the ball to Solihull Moors's 46%, shots finished 19-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Solihull Moors led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Oldham Athletic and 1.75 for Solihull Moors.

What was the final score of Oldham Athletic vs Solihull Moors?

Oldham Athletic 2-3 Solihull Moors in the England - National League on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oldham Athletic vs Solihull Moors?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oldham Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Oldham Athletic 44%, draw 30%, Solihull Moors 26%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Oldham Athletic) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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