Eastleigh 1-3 Forest Green Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 5 Oct 2024

Eastleigh
1-3 HT 1-0
Forest Green Rovers
📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - National League – 2024/2025

Eastleigh vs Forest Green Rovers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.94
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.46
2-3 Goals
44%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.45
6+ Goals
9%
13.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.46 — our 27% vs market 23.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.74
1/2
9%
24.85
1/X
8%
13.7
X/1
6%
6.65
X/2
15%
4.7
X/X
14%
4.83
2/1
8%
33.5
2/2
16%
2.92
2/X
7%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
31%
+0.7pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.0pp
40%
Away Win
44%
-3.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.0pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Eastleigh v Forest Green Rovers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eastleigh EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Forest Green Rovers EU Bookmakers 48%
+14% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +13%
1.64/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.92/0.67
+29% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +90%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
128 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 158 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0

Eastleigh vs Forest Green Rovers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eastleigh
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Forest Green Rovers
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
The Meetings
10.01.2017 Eastleigh Eastleigh 1-1 HT 1-1 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İBSL
13.09.2016 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 1-1 HT 0-0 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
20.02.2016 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 2-1 HT 0-0 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
13.10.2015 Eastleigh Eastleigh 3-2 HT 1-2 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İBSL
11.11.2014 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 1-1 HT 0-0 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
16.09.2014 Eastleigh Eastleigh 2-2 HT 0-1 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İBSL

Eastleigh 1-3 Forest Green Rovers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eastleigh
1-3
AWAY Forest Green Rovers
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 6
1 Passes 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Eastleigh vs Forest Green Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Forest Green Rovers saw off Eastleigh 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (31% / 29% / 40%) promised a tight game; Forest Green Rovers found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Eastleigh had 50% of the ball to Forest Green Rovers's 50%, shots finished 10-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Eastleigh and 1.50 for Forest Green Rovers.

What was the final score of Eastleigh vs Forest Green Rovers?

Eastleigh 1-3 Forest Green Rovers in the England - National League on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eastleigh vs Forest Green Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Forest Green Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Eastleigh 31%, draw 29%, Forest Green Rovers 40%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Forest Green Rovers), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Forest Green Rovers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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