Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Real Madrid v Real Sociedad — Team-Based Signals
Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-1
Real Sociedad
İS1
2-0
HT 0-0
Real Madrid
İS1
0-0
HT 0-0
Real Sociedad
İS1
Real Madrid 4-4 Real Sociedad — Actual Match Statistics
Real Madrid and Real Sociedad couldn't be separated, finishing 4-4. Half-time: 1-1. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Real Madrid at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Real Madrid had 58% of the ball to Real Sociedad's 42%, shots finished 26-11, expected goals 3.12 to 1.03.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Madrid had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Real Madrid and 0.50 for Real Sociedad.
What was the final score of Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad?
Real Madrid 4-4 Real Sociedad in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 01/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad?
Before kick-off our model rated a Real Madrid win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Real Madrid 43%, draw 25%, Real Sociedad 32%. The final score 4-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Real Madrid) went the other way.