Malkiya 0-1 Al Najma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 1 May 2025

Malkiya
0-1 HT 0-0
Al Najma
📅01/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Bahrain - Premier League – 2025/2026

Malkiya vs Al Najma Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
31%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.71
Over 2.5
32%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
1.82
No
63%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
40%
2.71
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
13%
3.97
6+ Goals
5%
18.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.71 — our 40% vs market 29.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+0.5pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.9pp
31%
Away Win
35%
-3.4pp
68%
Under 2.5
55%
+13.6pp
32%
Over 2.5
45%
-13.5pp
37%
BTTS Yes
51%
-13.9pp
63%
BTTS No
49%
+13.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Malkiya v Al Najma — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malkiya EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Najma EU Bookmakers 38%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +13%
0.46/0.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.00
-63% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / +25%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
316 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.8

Malkiya vs Al Najma Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malkiya
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Al Najma
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.12.2024 Al Najma Al Najma 5-1 HT 2-1 Malkiya Malkiya BAH
17.01.2024 Al Najma Al Najma 2-0 HT 0-0 Malkiya Malkiya BAHK
18.02.2021 Malkiya Malkiya 1-2 HT 0-0 Al Najma Al Najma BAH
05.02.2021 Malkiya Malkiya 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Najma Al Najma BAH
POST-MATCH Malkiya vs Al Najma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Najma nicked a narrow win over Malkiya 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 31% / 31%) promised a tight game; Al Najma found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Al Najma led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Malkiya and 2.50 for Al Najma.

What was the final score of Malkiya vs Al Najma?

Malkiya 0-1 Al Najma in the Bahrain - Premier League on 01/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malkiya vs Al Najma?

Before kick-off our model rated a Malkiya win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Malkiya 38%, draw 31%, Al Najma 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Malkiya) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Malkiya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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