Muharraq 2-0 Sitra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 1 May 2025

📅01/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.49
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
20%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.03
Over 2.5
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.63
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
3.11
6+ Goals
9%
10.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
63%
-10.2pp
27%
Draw
21%
+5.9pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+4.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+2.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.1pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Muharraq EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Sitra EU Bookmakers 19%
+3% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
2.24/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.33
+19% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +52%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
360 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Muharraq
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Sitra
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
07.12.2024 Sitra Sitra 0-2 HT 0-0 Muharraq Muharraq BAH
19.05.2024 Muharraq Muharraq 1-1 HT 0-1 Sitra Sitra BAH
07.02.2024 Sitra Sitra 2-3 HT 1-2 Muharraq Muharraq BAH
08.02.2023 Sitra Sitra 1-0 HT 0-0 Muharraq Muharraq BAH
28.01.2023 Muharraq Muharraq 0-0 HT 0-0 Sitra Sitra BAH
14.11.2022 Sitra Sitra 2-3 HT 2-2 Muharraq Muharraq BAHK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Muharraq
2-0
AWAY Sitra
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Muharraq vs Sitra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Muharraq got the better of Sitra 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Muharraq as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Muharraq had 49% of the ball to Sitra's 51%, shots finished 13-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Muharraq had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Muharraq and 1.00 for Sitra.

What was the final score of Muharraq vs Sitra?

Muharraq 2-0 Sitra in the Bahrain - Premier League on 01/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Muharraq vs Sitra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Muharraq win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Muharraq 53%, draw 27%, Sitra 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Muharraq), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Muharraq) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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