Mes Rafsanjan 0-3 Persepolis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 1 May 2025

📅01/05/2025 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
4.04
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
50%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.4
No
64%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.18
2-3 Goals
37%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
5.17
6+ Goals
6%
33.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
6%
X/2
22%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
22%
-2.2pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.2pp
50%
Away Win
51%
-1.1pp
36%
BTTS Yes
38%
-1.8pp
64%
BTTS No
62%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mes Rafsanjan EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Persepolis EU Bookmakers 55%
-8% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +12%
0.71/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/0.67
-5% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
271 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mes Rafsanjan
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Persepolis
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
21.12.2024 Persepolis Persepolis 1-3 HT 0-2 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan IRAN
01.06.2024 Persepolis Persepolis 1-0 HT 0-0 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan IRAN
01.01.2024 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan 1-1 HT 0-1 Persepolis Persepolis IRAN
31.03.2023 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan 0-1 HT 0-1 Persepolis Persepolis IRAN
13.10.2022 Persepolis Persepolis 1-0 HT 1-0 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan IRAN
28.02.2022 Persepolis Persepolis 3-1 HT 2-1 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan IRAN
POST-MATCH Mes Rafsanjan vs Persepolis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Persepolis ran out comfortable winners over Mes Rafsanjan 3-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Persepolis as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (64%) landed while under 2.5 goals (67%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Persepolis led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Mes Rafsanjan and 1.33 for Persepolis.

What was the final score of Mes Rafsanjan vs Persepolis?

Mes Rafsanjan 0-3 Persepolis in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 01/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mes Rafsanjan vs Persepolis?

Before kick-off our model rated an Persepolis win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Mes Rafsanjan 19%, draw 31%, Persepolis 50%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Persepolis), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Persepolis) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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