Marathon vs Atletico Choloma Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Marathon v Atletico Choloma — Team-Based Signals
Marathon vs Atletico Choloma Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Atletico Choloma edged past Marathon 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Marathon at 64% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Marathon had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Marathon and 0.00 for Atletico Choloma.
What was the final score of Marathon vs Atletico Choloma?
Marathon 0-1 Atletico Choloma in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 01/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Marathon vs Atletico Choloma?
Before kick-off our model rated a Marathon win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Marathon 64%, draw 20%, Atletico Choloma 16%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.