Olancho 2-2 Genesis PN — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 1 May 2026

📅01/05/2026 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
64%
1.43
Draw
20%
4.34
Away
16%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
1.91
Over
56%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.99
No
43%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
45%
4-5
21%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
26%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
15%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Olancho win — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
64%
Home Win
66%
-1.6pp
20%
Draw
20%
+0.3pp
16%
Away Win
15%
+1.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
48%
-4.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
52%
+4.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
46%
+10.3pp
43%
BTTS No
54%
-10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olancho The Market 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Genesis PN The Market 18%
-8% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +15%
1.85/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.56
-4% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
304 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olancho
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Genesis PN
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
12.03.2026 Genesis PN Genesis PN 0-0 HT 0-0 Olancho Olancho HON
27.10.2025 Olancho Olancho 2-2 HT 1-0 Genesis PN Genesis PN HON
17.08.2025 Genesis PN Genesis PN 1-3 HT 0-1 Olancho Olancho HON
09.02.2025 Olancho Olancho 1-1 HT 1-0 Genesis PN Genesis PN HON
08.11.2024 Genesis PN Genesis PN 0-0 HT 0-0 Olancho Olancho HON
01.09.2024 Olancho Olancho 4-0 HT 1-0 Genesis PN Genesis PN HON
POST-MATCH Olancho vs Genesis PN
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olancho and Genesis PN couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

This one beat our numbers. Olancho carried 64% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olancho had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Olancho and 0.67 for Genesis PN.

What was the final score of Olancho vs Genesis PN?

Olancho 2-2 Genesis PN in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 01/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olancho vs Genesis PN?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olancho win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Olancho 64%, draw 20%, Genesis PN 16%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Olancho) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Olancho) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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