Viking 3-0 Rosenborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 1 May 2026

📅01/05/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.42
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
15%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.61
Over 2.5
61%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.63
No
41%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.57
2-3 Goals
35%
2.01
4-5 Goals
30%
2.52
6+ Goals
15%
5.67
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.65
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
6%
16.15
X/1
20%
4.14
X/2
6%
14.15
X/X
9%
7.54
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
18.95
2/2
5%
10.55
2/X
7%
18.35
Value flag · 2/1 at 18.95 — our 10% vs market 2.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Viking win — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
66%
-3.3pp
22%
Draw
19%
+2.6pp
15%
Away Win
15%
+0.7pp
39%
Under 2.5
35%
+4.1pp
61%
Over 2.5
65%
-4.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
57%
+1.4pp
41%
BTTS No
43%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viking EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Rosenborg EU Bookmakers 18%
+4% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -4%
2.19/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/2.37
+22% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -18%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
399 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 77%
36.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
27.3 Crosses 12.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viking
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Rosenborg
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
2.04 xG 1.82
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
392 Passes 289
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
39 Box Touches 27
24 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
31.08.2025 Viking Viking 2-1 HT 1-0 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
28.06.2025 Rosenborg Rosenborg 1-1 HT 0-1 Viking Viking NOR
18.08.2024 Rosenborg Rosenborg 2-1 HT 2-0 Viking Viking NOR
30.06.2024 Viking Viking 4-2 HT 1-0 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
24.03.2024 Viking Viking 5-0 HT 2-0 Rosenborg Rosenborg HAZ
03.12.2023 Viking Viking 1-5 HT 0-1 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Viking
3-0
AWAY Rosenborg
4.18 xG 0.99
48% Ball Possession 52%
19 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
319 Passes 355
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
49 Box Touches 10
22 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Viking vs Rosenborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viking ran out comfortable winners over Rosenborg 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Viking as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (61%) landed while both teams to score (59%) missed.

On the day, Viking had 48% of the ball to Rosenborg's 52%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 4.18 to 0.99.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Viking had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Viking and 1.83 for Rosenborg.

What was the final score of Viking vs Rosenborg?

Viking 3-0 Rosenborg in the Norway - Eliteserien on 01/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viking vs Rosenborg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Viking win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Viking 63%, draw 22%, Rosenborg 15%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Viking), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Viking) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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