Viking 2-1 Rosenborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 31 Aug 2025

📅31/08/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
24%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.51
Over 2.5
57%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.46
No
38%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.36
2-3 Goals
36%
2.01
4-5 Goals
28%
2.68
6+ Goals
13%
6.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.54
1/2
6%
29.0
1/X
6%
12.15
X/1
19%
5.05
X/2
11%
7.8
X/X
11%
5.87
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
20.2
2/2
7%
4.97
2/X
8%
12.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.2 — our 7% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
48%
+2.6pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.9pp
24%
Away Win
28%
-3.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
36%
+6.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
64%
-6.5pp
62%
BTTS Yes
64%
-2.5pp
38%
BTTS No
36%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viking EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Rosenborg EU Bookmakers 31%
-4% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -26%
1.61/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.51
+14% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -19%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
363 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 78%
31.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.8
24.4 Crosses 18.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viking
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Rosenborg
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.96 xG 1.70
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
398 Passes 269
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
35 Box Touches 26
23 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
28.06.2025 Rosenborg Rosenborg 1-1 HT 0-1 Viking Viking NOR
18.08.2024 Rosenborg Rosenborg 2-1 HT 2-0 Viking Viking NOR
30.06.2024 Viking Viking 4-2 HT 1-0 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
24.03.2024 Viking Viking 5-0 HT 2-0 Rosenborg Rosenborg HAZ
03.12.2023 Viking Viking 1-5 HT 0-1 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
10.04.2023 Rosenborg Rosenborg 1-0 HT 0-0 Viking Viking NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Viking
2-1
AWAY Rosenborg
1.79 xG 1.12
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 7
290 Passes 359
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
39 Box Touches 30
23 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Viking vs Rosenborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viking squeezed past Rosenborg 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Viking as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Viking had 47% of the ball to Rosenborg's 53%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 1.79 to 1.12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rosenborg led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Viking and 1.83 for Rosenborg.

What was the final score of Viking vs Rosenborg?

Viking 2-1 Rosenborg in the Norway - Eliteserien on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viking vs Rosenborg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Viking win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Viking 51%, draw 25%, Rosenborg 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Viking), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Viking) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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