Fredrikstad 2-2 Haugesund — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 31 Aug 2025

Fredrikstad
2-2 HT 2-2
Haugesund
📅31/08/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Norway - Eliteserien – 2025

Fredrikstad vs Haugesund Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.33
Draw
19%
4.81
Away
15%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.29
Over 2.5
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.88
No
46%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.66
2-3 Goals
38%
1.93
4-5 Goals
26%
2.86
6+ Goals
12%
7.93
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1.56
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
19.2
X/1
18%
3.78
X/2
6%
16.2
X/X
7%
7.45
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
20.7
2/2
5%
13.55
2/X
6%
22.35
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.7 — our 7% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
71%
-4.4pp
19%
Draw
18%
+1.2pp
15%
Away Win
12%
+3.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
40%
+3.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
60%
-3.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.6pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fredrikstad v Haugesund — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fredrikstad EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Haugesund EU Bookmakers 15%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -7%
1.84/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/2.21
-22% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +7%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
467 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 78%
36.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
28.6 Crosses 14.0
0.5 Yellow Cards 1.9

Fredrikstad vs Haugesund Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fredrikstad
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Haugesund
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.21 xG 0.94
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
332 Passes 353
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
28 Box Touches 17
28 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.04.2025 Haugesund Haugesund 0-0 HT 0-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR
25.08.2024 Haugesund Haugesund 1-0 HT 0-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR
14.08.2024 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 1-0 HT 0-0 Haugesund Haugesund NOR
07.10.2012 Haugesund Haugesund 1-0 HT 0-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR
13.05.2012 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 0-0 HT 0-0 Haugesund Haugesund NOR
16.10.2011 Haugesund Haugesund 3-2 HT 2-2 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR

Fredrikstad 2-2 Haugesund — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fredrikstad
2-2
AWAY Haugesund
3.24 xG 1.25
56% Ball Possession 44%
20 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 0
483 Passes 372
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
34 Box Touches 13
20 Crosses 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fredrikstad vs Haugesund
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fredrikstad and Haugesund couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Fredrikstad at 66% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Fredrikstad had 56% of the ball to Haugesund's 44%, shots finished 20-11, expected goals 3.24 to 1.25.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Haugesund led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Fredrikstad and 0.83 for Haugesund.

What was the final score of Fredrikstad vs Haugesund?

Fredrikstad 2-2 Haugesund in the Norway - Eliteserien on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fredrikstad vs Haugesund?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fredrikstad win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Fredrikstad 66%, draw 19%, Haugesund 15%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fredrikstad) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fredrikstad) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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