Stromsgodset 3-1 Molde — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 31 Aug 2025

📅31/08/2025 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.32
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
51%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.38
Over 2.5
57%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.5
No
38%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
5.07
2-3 Goals
42%
1.98
4-5 Goals
26%
2.74
6+ Goals
13%
7.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
5.36
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
20.1
1/X
7%
13.35
X/1
8%
8.08
X/2
13%
4.82
X/X
9%
5.88
2/1
6%
31.0
2/2
30%
2.42
2/X
8%
12.55
Value flag · 1/2 at 20.1 — our 9% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
27%
-2.6pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.6pp
51%
Away Win
49%
+1.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
38%
+5.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
62%
-5.2pp
62%
BTTS Yes
62%
-0.8pp
38%
BTTS No
38%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stromsgodset EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Molde EU Bookmakers 54%
+4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -24%
1.49/2.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/1.34
+53% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -4%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
305 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 405 · 82%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.5
21.3 Crosses 19.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stromsgodset
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Molde
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.97 xG 1.90
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
318 Passes 555
79% Pass Accuracy 87%
18 Box Touches 33
13 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
19.07.2025 Molde Molde 4-1 HT 3-1 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR
01.12.2024 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 1-0 HT 0-0 Molde Molde NOR
01.04.2024 Molde Molde 4-0 HT 1-0 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR
24.09.2023 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 1-1 HT 1-1 Molde Molde NOR
28.06.2023 Molde Molde 3-0 HT 3-0 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOK
13.05.2023 Molde Molde 3-2 HT 1-0 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stromsgodset
3-1
AWAY Molde
2.15 xG 1.61
34% Ball Possession 66%
17 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 6
239 Passes 535
75% Pass Accuracy 87%
32 Box Touches 29
16 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Stromsgodset vs Molde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stromsgodset beat Molde 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Molde at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

On the day, Stromsgodset had 34% of the ball to Molde's 66%, shots finished 17-14, expected goals 2.15 to 1.61.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Molde led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Stromsgodset and 2.50 for Molde.

What was the final score of Stromsgodset vs Molde?

Stromsgodset 3-1 Molde in the Norway - Eliteserien on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stromsgodset vs Molde?

Before kick-off our model rated an Molde win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Stromsgodset 24%, draw 25%, Molde 51%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Molde) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Molde) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NOR More Norway - Eliteserien
31 Aug 2025
15:30 Kristiansund BK vs Brann Analysis →
18:00 Fredrikstad vs Haugesund Analysis →
18:00 Tromsö vs KFUM Oslo Analysis →
18:00 Viking vs Rosenborg Analysis →
18:00 HamKam vs Sarpsborg 08 Analysis →
18:00 Sandefjord vs Bodo/Glimt Analysis →