HamKam vs Sarpsborg 08 Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
HamKam v Sarpsborg 08 — Team-Based Signals
HamKam vs Sarpsborg 08 Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Sarpsborg 08
NOR
2-3
HT 2-3
HamKam
NOR
HamKam 1-3 Sarpsborg 08 — Actual Match Statistics
Sarpsborg 08 got the better of HamKam 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 25% / 35% — and on the day Sarpsborg 08 made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, HamKam had 42% of the ball to Sarpsborg 08's 58%, shots finished 8-19, expected goals 0.84 to 3.46.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for HamKam and 1.67 for Sarpsborg 08.
What was the final score of HamKam vs Sarpsborg 08?
HamKam 1-3 Sarpsborg 08 in the Norway - Eliteserien on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for HamKam vs Sarpsborg 08?
Before kick-off our model rated a HamKam win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split HamKam 40%, draw 25%, Sarpsborg 08 35%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (HamKam) went the other way.