Gnistan 0-2 Ilves Tampere — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 1 Jun 2025

📅01/06/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.75
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
42%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.97
Over 2.5
46%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.74
2-3 Goals
41%
1.87
4-5 Goals
20%
3.38
6+ Goals
11%
12.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.74 — our 28% vs market 22.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
6.83
1/2
9%
23.3
1/X
11%
14.6
X/1
11%
8.98
X/2
12%
4.55
X/X
10%
5.1
2/1
9%
35.0
2/2
21%
2.37
2/X
8%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
23%
+5.6pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.8pp
42%
Away Win
52%
-9.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
47%
+7.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
53%
-7.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.8pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gnistan EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Ilves Tampere EU Bookmakers 56%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +5%
1.12/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.17
+17% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +0%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
264 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 452 · 82%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.1
18.2 Crosses 15.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gnistan
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Ilves Tampere
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.78 xG 1.81
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
213 Passes 412
69% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
28.05.2025 Gnistan Gnistan 3-0 HT 0-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİK
01.09.2024 Gnistan Gnistan 1-1 HT 0-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
13.04.2024 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 4-6 HT 2-0 Gnistan Gnistan FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gnistan
0-2
AWAY Ilves Tampere
0.47 xG 2.67
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 22
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 10
204 Passes 400
68% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 50
10 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gnistan vs Ilves Tampere
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ilves Tampere saw off Gnistan 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ilves Tampere as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Gnistan had 37% of the ball to Ilves Tampere's 63%, shots finished 7-22, expected goals 0.47 to 2.67.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Gnistan had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Gnistan and 1.67 for Ilves Tampere.

What was the final score of Gnistan vs Ilves Tampere?

Gnistan 0-2 Ilves Tampere in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 01/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gnistan vs Ilves Tampere?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ilves Tampere win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Gnistan 29%, draw 29%, Ilves Tampere 42%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ilves Tampere), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ilves Tampere) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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