FA Siauliai 2-1 FK Panevezys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 1 Jun 2025

📅01/06/2025 · 🕒18:25 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.84
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
40%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
31%
+0.7pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.7pp
40%
Away Win
42%
-2.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.1pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FA Siauliai EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Panevezys EU Bookmakers 46%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.54/1.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.16/1.38
+20% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +54% / -7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
256 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.1 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FA Siauliai
3W-2D-1L
AWAY FK Panevezys
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.03.2025 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 1-3 HT 1-2 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LITA
27.10.2024 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 1-3 HT 0-1 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LITA
26.09.2024 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 2-1 HT 1-0 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LITA
01.06.2024 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 2-0 HT 1-0 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LIT1
10.04.2024 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 1-1 HT 0-1 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LIT1
30.10.2023 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 1-1 HT 1-0 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FA Siauliai
2-1
AWAY FK Panevezys
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FA Siauliai vs FK Panevezys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FA Siauliai squeezed past FK Panevezys 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (32% / 28% / 40%) promised a tight game; FA Siauliai found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, FA Siauliai had 44% of the ball to FK Panevezys's 56%, shots finished 9-18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FA Siauliai had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for FA Siauliai and 1.17 for FK Panevezys.

What was the final score of FA Siauliai vs FK Panevezys?

FA Siauliai 2-1 FK Panevezys in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 01/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FA Siauliai vs FK Panevezys?

Before kick-off our model rated an FK Panevezys win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split FA Siauliai 32%, draw 28%, FK Panevezys 40%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FK Panevezys) ✗ Under 2.5
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