Torque 1-2 Nacional de Football — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 1 Jun 2025

📅01/06/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.46
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
49%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.9
Over 2.5
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
22%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
26%
+0.7pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.1pp
49%
Away Win
49%
+0.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
49%
+0.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
51%
-0.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.6pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torque EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Nacional de Football EU Bookmakers 53%
-24% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +12%
0.60/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.94/0.80
-41% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -12%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
229 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torque
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Nacional de Football
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
03.02.2025 Torque Torque 1-0 HT 1-0 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
07.12.2023 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 1-1 HT 0-1 Torque Torque URU
15.05.2023 Torque Torque 0-4 HT 0-4 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
28.08.2022 Torque Torque 0-3 HT 0-2 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
14.03.2022 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 1-1 HT 1-0 Torque Torque URU
04.11.2021 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 2-0 HT 1-0 Torque Torque URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torque
1-2
AWAY Nacional de Football
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Torque vs Nacional de Football
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacional de Football nicked a narrow win over Torque 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nacional de Football as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Torque had 49% of the ball to Nacional de Football's 51%, shots finished 14-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional de Football led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Torque and 1.83 for Nacional de Football.

What was the final score of Torque vs Nacional de Football?

Torque 1-2 Nacional de Football in the Uruguay - Premier League on 01/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torque vs Nacional de Football?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nacional de Football win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Torque 26%, draw 25%, Nacional de Football 49%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacional de Football), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nacional de Football) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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