CA River Plate 1-2 Defensor Sporting — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 1 Jun 2025

📅01/06/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.08
Draw
33%
3.11
Away
35%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.56
Over 2.5
40%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
10%
1/X
12%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
29%
+3.0pp
33%
Draw
29%
+4.1pp
35%
Away Win
42%
-7.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
60%
+0.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
40%
-0.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.3pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CA River Plate EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Defensor Sporting EU Bookmakers 46%
+7% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +15%
1.30/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/0.73
+22% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +35%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
306 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CA River Plate
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Defensor Sporting
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.02.2025 CA River Plate CA River Plate 0-1 HT 0-0 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU
17.10.2024 CA River Plate CA River Plate 0-1 HT 0-0 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU
20.07.2024 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 0-1 HT 0-1 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
14.04.2024 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 2-1 HT 1-0 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
11.04.2024 CA River Plate CA River Plate 1-2 HT 1-1 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URUK
30.11.2023 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 0-1 HT 0-0 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CA River Plate
1-2
AWAY Defensor Sporting
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH CA River Plate vs Defensor Sporting
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Defensor Sporting edged past CA River Plate 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match split (32% / 33% / 35%) promised a tight game; Defensor Sporting found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, CA River Plate had 55% of the ball to Defensor Sporting's 45%, shots finished 12-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Defensor Sporting led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for CA River Plate and 1.00 for Defensor Sporting.

What was the final score of CA River Plate vs Defensor Sporting?

CA River Plate 1-2 Defensor Sporting in the Uruguay - Premier League on 01/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CA River Plate vs Defensor Sporting?

Before kick-off our model rated an Defensor Sporting win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split CA River Plate 32%, draw 33%, Defensor Sporting 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Defensor Sporting) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Defensor Sporting) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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