Charlotte Independence 2-2 Lexington — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USLKP, 1 Jun 2025

📅01/06/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
36%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
2.03
Over 2.5
41%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.61
No
60%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-0.6pp
30%
Draw
26%
+5.0pp
36%
Away Win
41%
-4.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
45%
+13.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
55%
-13.4pp
40%
BTTS Yes
58%
-17.6pp
60%
BTTS No
42%
+17.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Charlotte Independence EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Lexington EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
343 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Charlotte Independence
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Lexington
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
1.80 xG 1.97
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
351 Passes 377
83% Pass Accuracy 85%
24 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.10.2024 Lexington Lexington 2-2 HT 1-2 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence USL1
04.08.2024 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence 3-3 HT 1-3 Lexington Lexington USL1
18.09.2023 Lexington Lexington 2-2 HT 0-1 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence USL1
10.07.2023 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence 2-1 HT 1-1 Lexington Lexington USL1
14.05.2023 Lexington Lexington 1-0 HT 0-0 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence USL1
POST-MATCH Charlotte Independence vs Lexington
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charlotte Independence and Lexington couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 30% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Charlotte Independence and 1.80 for Lexington.

What was the final score of Charlotte Independence vs Lexington?

Charlotte Independence 2-2 Lexington in the USLKP on 01/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Charlotte Independence vs Lexington?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lexington win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Charlotte Independence 33%, draw 30%, Lexington 36%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lexington) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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