Cruzeiro 1-1 Fluminense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 1 Jun 2026

📅01/06/2026 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.89
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.64
Over 2.5
47%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.96
No
45%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.57
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
23%
4.24
6+ Goals
9%
21.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.57
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
9%
14.0
X/1
20%
4.27
X/2
9%
7.93
X/X
13%
4.17
2/1
8%
27.5
2/2
8%
6.65
2/X
7%
15.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
49%
-1.7pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.9pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-0.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
57%
-4.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
43%
+4.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
47%
+7.8pp
45%
BTTS No
53%
-7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cruzeiro EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Fluminense EU Bookmakers 27%
-5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -2%
1.37/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.33
+3% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
358 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 82%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
23.2 Crosses 16.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cruzeiro
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Fluminense
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.30 xG 0.94
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
300 Passes 444
83% Pass Accuracy 87%
19 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 4
09.11.2025 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 0-0 HT 0-0 Fluminense Fluminense BR1
18.07.2025 Fluminense Fluminense 0-2 HT 0-2 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1
04.10.2024 Fluminense Fluminense 1-0 HT 0-0 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1
20.06.2024 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 2-0 HT 1-0 Fluminense Fluminense BR1
21.09.2023 Fluminense Fluminense 1-0 HT 0-0 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1
11.05.2023 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 0-2 HT 0-1 Fluminense Fluminense BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cruzeiro
1-1
AWAY Fluminense
1.11 xG 0.77
61% Ball Possession 39%
19 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
520 Passes 310
89% Pass Accuracy 83%
38 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cruzeiro vs Fluminense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cruzeiro and Fluminense shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Cruzeiro at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Cruzeiro had 61% of the ball to Fluminense's 39%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 1.11 to 0.77.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fluminense led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Cruzeiro and 0.67 for Fluminense.

What was the final score of Cruzeiro vs Fluminense?

Cruzeiro 1-1 Fluminense in the Brazil - Serie A on 01/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cruzeiro vs Fluminense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cruzeiro win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Cruzeiro 47%, draw 29%, Fluminense 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cruzeiro) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cruzeiro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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