Guabira 1-1 Independiente Petrolero — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 1 Jul 2025

📅01/07/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
28%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
12%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-9.5pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.7pp
28%
Away Win
19%
+8.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.3pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guabira EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente Petrolero EU Bookmakers 22%
-2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +26%
1.60/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.53
+6% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -1%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
303 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 207 · 70%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
21.2 Crosses 16.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guabira
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Independiente Petrolero
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.15 xG 1.27
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
247 Passes 197
74% Pass Accuracy 68%
20 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.05.2025 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 0-1 HT 0-0 Guabira Guabira BOLPLK
28.10.2024 Guabira Guabira 1-2 HT 0-1 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
13.07.2024 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 0-0 HT 0-0 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
09.04.2024 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 3-2 HT 1-0 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
19.02.2024 Guabira Guabira 2-1 HT 1-0 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
06.12.2023 Guabira Guabira 2-0 HT 1-0 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guabira
1-1
AWAY Independiente Petrolero
1.45 xG 1.39
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 6
366 Passes 181
78% Pass Accuracy 62%
20 Box Touches 16
27 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Guabira vs Independiente Petrolero
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guabira and Independiente Petrolero couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Guabira at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Guabira had 62% of the ball to Independiente Petrolero's 38%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 1.45 to 1.39.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guabira had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Guabira and 1.00 for Independiente Petrolero.

What was the final score of Guabira vs Independiente Petrolero?

Guabira 1-1 Independiente Petrolero in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 01/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guabira vs Independiente Petrolero?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guabira win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Guabira 48%, draw 24%, Independiente Petrolero 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Guabira), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Guabira) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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