Univ College Dublin 0-1 Dundalk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 1 Aug 2025

📅01/08/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.99
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
45%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.8
Over 2.5
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
2.93
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
3.59
6+ Goals
8%
15.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.93 — our 31% vs market 26.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
30%
-3.8pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.1pp
45%
Away Win
43%
+1.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.7pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Univ College Dublin EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Dundalk EU Bookmakers 48%
-4% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +43% / +43%
0.94/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.49/1.00
-29% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / +23%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
226 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 213 · 61%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Univ College Dublin
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Dundalk
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.47 xG 1.41
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
147 Passes 310
57% Pass Accuracy 73%
6 Box Touches 21
8 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
13.06.2025 Dundalk Dundalk 1-1 HT 1-1 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
04.04.2025 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 0-1 HT 0-0 Dundalk Dundalk İR1
03.11.2023 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 1-5 HT 1-1 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
01.05.2023 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 0-2 HT 0-1 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
17.02.2023 Dundalk Dundalk 1-1 HT 1-0 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İRL
09.09.2022 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 3-2 HT 0-1 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
POST-MATCH Univ College Dublin vs Dundalk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dundalk nicked a narrow win over Univ College Dublin 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Dundalk as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dundalk led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Univ College Dublin and 2.00 for Dundalk.

What was the final score of Univ College Dublin vs Dundalk?

Univ College Dublin 0-1 Dundalk in the Ireland - 1st Division on 01/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Univ College Dublin vs Dundalk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dundalk win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Univ College Dublin 26%, draw 29%, Dundalk 45%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dundalk), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dundalk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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