Wexford Youths 2-1 Finn Harps — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 1 Aug 2025

📅01/08/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
42%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.73
2-3 Goals
38%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
3.84
6+ Goals
10%
17.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.73 — our 33% vs market 29.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-1.0pp
23%
Draw
28%
-5.1pp
42%
Away Win
36%
+6.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.7pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wexford Youths EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Finn Harps EU Bookmakers 40%
-6% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -13%
1.47/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.31
+11% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / -2%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
264 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 408 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wexford Youths
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Finn Harps
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.06.2025 Finn Harps Finn Harps 1-1 HT 0-1 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
11.04.2025 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 2-2 HT 1-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
14.10.2024 Finn Harps Finn Harps 1-3 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
09.08.2024 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 2-0 HT 1-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
31.05.2024 Finn Harps Finn Harps 1-0 HT 1-0 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
15.03.2024 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 1-2 HT 1-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wexford Youths
2-1
AWAY Finn Harps
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Wexford Youths vs Finn Harps
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wexford Youths edged past Finn Harps 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Finn Harps at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Wexford Youths had 54% of the ball to Finn Harps's 46%, shots finished 17-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Wexford Youths and 1.17 for Finn Harps.

What was the final score of Wexford Youths vs Finn Harps?

Wexford Youths 2-1 Finn Harps in the Ireland - 1st Division on 01/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wexford Youths vs Finn Harps?

Before kick-off our model rated an Finn Harps win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Wexford Youths 35%, draw 23%, Finn Harps 42%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Finn Harps) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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