Meppen 3-1 Lübeck — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 1 Aug 2025

📅01/08/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.49
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
27%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.21
Over 2.5
61%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.66
No
42%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
5%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
62%
-10.0pp
21%
Draw
20%
+0.4pp
27%
Away Win
17%
+9.7pp
39%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.9pp
61%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.9pp
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.9pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Meppen EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Lübeck EU Bookmakers 21%
-4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
2.44/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.09/2.06
+16% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -92% / -1%
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
382 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Meppen
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Lübeck
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.03.2025 Lübeck Lübeck 1-0 HT 1-0 Meppen Meppen ALMBÖL
14.09.2024 Meppen Meppen 3-0 HT 2-0 Lübeck Lübeck ALMBÖL
09.05.2021 Meppen Meppen 0-2 HT 0-0 Lübeck Lübeck AL3
19.12.2020 Lübeck Lübeck 0-2 HT 0-1 Meppen Meppen AL3
POST-MATCH Meppen vs Lübeck
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Meppen got the better of Lübeck 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Meppen as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Meppen and 0.75 for Lübeck.

What was the final score of Meppen vs Lübeck?

Meppen 3-1 Lübeck in the Germany - Regional League on 01/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Meppen vs Lübeck?

Before kick-off our model rated a Meppen win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Meppen 52%, draw 21%, Lübeck 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Meppen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Meppen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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