Bayreuth 1-5 Illertissen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 1 Aug 2025

📅01/08/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
31%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
21%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
+1.1pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.0pp
31%
Away Win
35%
-4.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.5pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayreuth EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Illertissen EU Bookmakers 39%
-3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -18%
1.40/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.89/2.00
+2% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
303 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.8 Crosses 13.0
5.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayreuth
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Illertissen
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
15.04.2025 Illertissen Illertissen 3-3 HT 3-1 Bayreuth Bayreuth ALMBÖL
14.09.2024 Bayreuth Bayreuth 1-0 HT 0-0 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
01.03.2024 Bayreuth Bayreuth 0-1 HT 0-0 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
25.08.2023 Illertissen Illertissen 3-1 HT 0-1 Bayreuth Bayreuth ALMBÖL
29.04.2022 Illertissen Illertissen 0-1 HT 0-0 Bayreuth Bayreuth ALMBÖL
02.10.2021 Bayreuth Bayreuth 4-2 HT 2-1 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Bayreuth vs Illertissen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Illertissen cruised past Bayreuth 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 30% / 31% — and on the day Illertissen made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayreuth had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Bayreuth and 1.50 for Illertissen.

What was the final score of Bayreuth vs Illertissen?

Bayreuth 1-5 Illertissen in the Germany - Regional League on 01/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayreuth vs Illertissen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayreuth win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Bayreuth 39%, draw 30%, Illertissen 31%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bayreuth), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bayreuth) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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