FC Liefering 0-4 Austria Lustenau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 1 Aug 2025

📅01/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.29
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
41%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.9
Over 2.5
55%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.73
No
43%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.2
2-3 Goals
35%
1.74
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
26%
3.34
6+ Goals
12%
12.75
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.34 — our 26% vs market 23.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
5.54
1/2
6%
23.95
1/X
4%
14.4
X/1
14%
7.4
X/2
20%
4.6
X/X
10%
4.92
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
16%
2.68
2/X EV+ ✗
9%
13.55
Value flag · 2/X at 13.55 — our 9% vs market 4.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
27%
+8.1pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.3pp
41%
Away Win
47%
-5.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
49%
-4.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
51%
+4.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
54%
+3.3pp
43%
BTTS No
46%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Liefering EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Austria Lustenau EU Bookmakers 51%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -2%
1.38/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/1.08
+10% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +20%
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
253 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 79%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
16.1 Crosses 20.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Liefering
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Austria Lustenau
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2.33 xG 2.63
48% Ball Possession 52%
20 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
282 Passes 310
74% Pass Accuracy 73%
29 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 1
18.04.2025 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 1-2 HT 0-2 FC Liefering FC Liefering AU2
06.10.2024 FC Liefering FC Liefering 0-1 HT 0-0 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AU2
25.02.2022 FC Liefering FC Liefering 2-5 HT 0-1 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AU2
06.08.2021 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 2-1 HT 2-1 FC Liefering FC Liefering AU2
16.05.2021 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 2-4 HT 0-1 FC Liefering FC Liefering AU2
12.02.2021 FC Liefering FC Liefering 3-1 HT 2-0 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AU2
POST-MATCH FC Liefering vs Austria Lustenau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Austria Lustenau swept aside FC Liefering 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

As we said in the preview, our model had Austria Lustenau as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for FC Liefering and 2.00 for Austria Lustenau.

What was the final score of FC Liefering vs Austria Lustenau?

FC Liefering 0-4 Austria Lustenau in the Austria - 1st Division on 01/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Liefering vs Austria Lustenau?

Before kick-off our model rated an Austria Lustenau win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split FC Liefering 35%, draw 23%, Austria Lustenau 41%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Austria Lustenau), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Austria Lustenau) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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