Amstetten 2-0 Sturm Graz II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 1 Aug 2025

Amstetten
2-0 HT 1-0
Sturm Graz II
📅01/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Austria - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Amstetten vs Sturm Graz II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.8
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
32%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.29
Over 2.5
55%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.55
No
43%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.38
2-3 Goals
42%
1.86
4-5 Goals
23%
2.73
6+ Goals
11%
7.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.38
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
5%
13.2
X/1
17%
4.67
X/2
13%
8.38
X/X
6%
5.85
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
20.6
2/2
14%
5.81
2/X
9%
14.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.6 — our 8% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
51%
-3.4pp
20%
Draw
23%
-3.2pp
32%
Away Win
25%
+6.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.7pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Amstetten v Sturm Graz II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amstetten EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Sturm Graz II EU Bookmakers 29%
-7% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +4%
1.90/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.02/1.97
+11% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +63% / -18%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
262 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 69%
30.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
20.0 Crosses –
3.2 Yellow Cards 1.7

Amstetten vs Sturm Graz II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Amstetten
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Sturm Graz II
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
08.03.2025 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II 2-1 HT 1-0 Amstetten Amstetten AU2
23.08.2024 Amstetten Amstetten 3-1 HT 0-1 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II AU2
19.04.2024 Amstetten Amstetten 1-4 HT 1-1 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II AU2
01.10.2023 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II 3-2 HT 0-0 Amstetten Amstetten AU2
21.04.2023 Amstetten Amstetten 5-0 HT 2-0 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II AU2
16.10.2022 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II 3-1 HT 0-0 Amstetten Amstetten AU2
POST-MATCH Amstetten vs Sturm Graz II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amstetten saw off Sturm Graz II 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Amstetten as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sturm Graz II led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Amstetten and 2.17 for Sturm Graz II.

What was the final score of Amstetten vs Sturm Graz II?

Amstetten 2-0 Sturm Graz II in the Austria - 1st Division on 01/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amstetten vs Sturm Graz II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Amstetten win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Amstetten 48%, draw 20%, Sturm Graz II 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Amstetten) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Amstetten) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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