Austria Lustenau 1-2 FC Liefering — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
38%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.9
Over 2.5
43%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.7
No
57%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.25
2-3 Goals
37%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
3.36
6+ Goals
11%
12.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.25 — our 32% vs market 24.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.25
1/2
7%
31.0
1/X
8%
12.95
X/1
14%
5.25
X/2
12%
6.49
X/X
11%
4.75
2/1
10%
26.0
2/2
19%
4.51
2/X
7%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-5.6pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.4pp
38%
Away Win
31%
+7.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
49%
+8.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
51%
-8.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
55%
-11.8pp
57%
BTTS No
45%
+11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Austria Lustenau EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Liefering EU Bookmakers 34%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -4%
1.34/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.67
-13% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
251 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 73%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
20.2 Crosses 13.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Austria Lustenau
3W-0D-3L
AWAY FC Liefering
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
2.63 xG 2.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
310 Passes 282
73% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 29
15 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 4
06.10.2024 FC Liefering FC Liefering 0-1 HT 0-0 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AU2
25.02.2022 FC Liefering FC Liefering 2-5 HT 0-1 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AU2
06.08.2021 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 2-1 HT 2-1 FC Liefering FC Liefering AU2
16.05.2021 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 2-4 HT 0-1 FC Liefering FC Liefering AU2
12.02.2021 FC Liefering FC Liefering 3-1 HT 2-0 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AU2
03.07.2020 FC Liefering FC Liefering 4-2 HT 1-1 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AU2
POST-MATCH Austria Lustenau vs FC Liefering
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Liefering nicked a narrow win over Austria Lustenau 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 26% / 38% — and on the day FC Liefering made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Austria Lustenau and 2.33 for FC Liefering.

What was the final score of Austria Lustenau vs FC Liefering?

Austria Lustenau 1-2 FC Liefering in the Austria - 1st Division on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Austria Lustenau vs FC Liefering?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Liefering win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Austria Lustenau 36%, draw 26%, FC Liefering 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Liefering) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Liefering) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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