SV Horn 3-2 Bregenz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
37%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.23
Over 2.5
58%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.53
No
45%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.36
2-3 Goals
42%
1.87
4-5 Goals
24%
2.79
6+ Goals
13%
7.77
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.11
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
27.5
1/X
7%
12.55
X/1
17%
5.5
X/2
9%
6.72
X/X
10%
5.55
2/1
7%
22.9
2/2
21%
4.23
2/X
8%
12.9
Value flag · 1/2 at 27.5 — our 7% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.5pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.5pp
37%
Away Win
32%
+4.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
61%
-6.0pp
45%
BTTS No
39%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SV Horn EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Bregenz EU Bookmakers 36%
-1% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +33% / +33%
1.62/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.04/0.83
+5% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +62% / +85%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
318 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 78%
17.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
13.1 Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SV Horn
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Bregenz
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
7 Total Shots 10
5 Corners 6
04.10.2024 Bregenz Bregenz 3-1 HT 1-0 SV Horn SV Horn AU2
04.05.2024 SV Horn SV Horn 1-0 HT 0-0 Bregenz Bregenz AU2
21.10.2023 Bregenz Bregenz 3-1 HT 2-0 SV Horn SV Horn AU2
POST-MATCH SV Horn vs Bregenz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SV Horn squeezed past Bregenz 3-2. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 37%) promised a tight game; SV Horn found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Bregenz led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for SV Horn and 2.00 for Bregenz.

What was the final score of SV Horn vs Bregenz?

SV Horn 3-2 Bregenz in the Austria - 1st Division on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SV Horn vs Bregenz?

Before kick-off our model rated a SV Horn win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split SV Horn 38%, draw 26%, Bregenz 37%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SV Horn), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (SV Horn) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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